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New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers

NBApreseason • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
0
vs
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
0
PHI 48%52% NYK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Knicks 52% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Knicks:

  • ELO Rating. 76ers ELO 1528 vs Knicks ELO 1706 (diff: -178); both ratings carried over from last season
  • Injuries. Knicks less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing 76ers players matter more

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Knicks (away)
76ers (home)
52%
Win probability
48%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Knicks at 76ers

The Knicks visit the 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2027-2028 NBA preseason play.

Our model gives the Knicks a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The 76ers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • ELO Rating favors the Knicks (medium): 76ers ELO 1528 vs Knicks ELO 1706 (diff: -178); both ratings carried over from last season
  • Home Field Advantage favors the 76ers (medium): Standard home-field edge for 76ers (no home or road games yet this season)
  • Injuries favors the Knicks (low): Knicks less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing 76ers players matter ...
Knicks52%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
ELO Rating
Favors NYK

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • InjuriesFavors New York Knicks
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYK
PHI
ELO Rating
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
Favours NYK|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 8:30:00 AM

76ers

Tacko FallC(Hip)
QUESTIONABLE
Adem BonaC(Foot)
QUESTIONABLE

Knicks

Drew EubanksF(Thumb)
QUESTIONABLE

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article
Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

76ers has a 48% win probability, while Knicks has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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