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New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers

NBApreseason • 2027-2028 Season
completed
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
120
vs
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
97
PHI 39%61% NYK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Knicks 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Knicks:

  • Injuries. Knicks less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing 76ers players matter more
  • ELO Rating. 76ers ELO 1528 vs Knicks ELO 1706 (diff: -178); both ratings carried over from last season

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Knicks (away)
76ers (home)
61%
Win probability
39%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The 76ers defeated the Knicks 120-97.

Our model predicted the Knicks would win with 61% confidence, but the 76ers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Knicks and was a major factor: Knicks less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing 76ers players matter ...
  • ELO Rating favored the Knicks and was a notable factor: 76ers ELO 1528 vs Knicks ELO 1706 (diff: -178); both ratings carried over from last season
  • Home Field Advantage favored the 76ers and was a notable factor: Standard home-field edge for 76ers (no home or road games yet this season)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

76ers won 120-97

76ers won in a blowout

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Knicks at 61%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors New York Knicks
  • ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYK
PHI
Injuries
ELO Rating
Home Field Advantage
Favours NYK|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Knicks less affected by injuries: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs 76ers 0 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing 76ers players matter more

Knicks

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/5/2026, 10:45:05 PM

76ers

Ariel HukportiC(Calf)
QUESTIONABLE
Tacko FallC(Hip)
QUESTIONABLE
Adem BonaC(Foot)
QUESTIONABLE
Joel EmbiidC(Rest)
QUESTIONABLE
LeBron JamesF(Rest)
QUESTIONABLE
Dominick BarlowF(Back)
QUESTIONABLE
Tyrese MaxeyG(Rest)
QUESTIONABLE
Anfernee SimonsG(Undisclosed)
QUESTIONABLE

Knicks

Jose AlvaradoG(Knee)
QUESTIONABLE

Key Players

Knicks

Jaden AkinsG
Mikal BridgesG
Jalen BrunsonG
Jordan ClarksonG
Josh HartG

76ers

Caleb LoveG
Anfernee SimonsGQUESTIONABLE
VJ EdgecombeG
Tyrese MaxeyGQUESTIONABLE
Jaylen BrownG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article
Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

76ers has a 39% win probability, while Knicks has a 61% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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