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Houston Rockets at New Orleans Pelicans

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Pelicans logo
Pelicans
New Orleans
102
vs
Rockets logo
Rockets
Houston
134
NOP 34%66% HOU
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueSmoothie King Center
New Orleans, LA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Rockets (away)
Pelicans (home)
66%
Win probability
34%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rockets defeated the Pelicans 134-102.

Our model predicted the Rockets would win with 66% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Rockets and was a major factor: Rockets defense (109.9 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (119.2 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Pelicans and was a contributing factor: Pelicans offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Rockets (113.9 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Rockets and was a notable factor: Rockets (43-27) in better form than Pelicans (25-47)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rockets won 102-134

Rockets won in a blowout

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rockets at 66%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

HOU
NOP
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours HOU|Favours NOP

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Rockets defense (109.9 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (119.2 Opp PPG)

Rockets

Recent Form

Rockets (43-27) in better form than Pelicans (25-47)

Rockets

Offensive Efficiency

Pelicans offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Rockets (113.9 PPG)

Pelicans

Turnover Differential

Pelicans turnover differential (+0) vs Rockets (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/29/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Rockets

Aaron HolidayG
Tristen NewtonG
Josh OkogieG
Amen ThompsonG
Reed SheppardG

Pelicans

Trey AlexanderG
Saddiq BeyG
Jeremiah FearsG
Jordan HawkinsG
Bryce McGowensG

Frequently Asked Questions

Pelicans has a 34% win probability, while Rockets has a 66% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA.

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