Boston Celtics at Memphis Grizzlies
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Celtics defeated the Grizzlies 117-112.
Our model predicted the Celtics would win with 68% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Celtics and was a major factor: Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.6 Opp PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Celtics and was a notable factor: Celtics (46-23) in better form than Grizzlies (24-44)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Grizzlies and was a contributing factor: Grizzlies offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.3 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Celtics won by a solid margin
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Celtics defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (118.6 Opp PPG)
Recent Form
Celtics (46-23) in better form than Grizzlies (24-44)
Offensive Efficiency
Grizzlies offense (115.6 PPG) outpaces Celtics (114.3 PPG)
Turnover Differential
Grizzlies turnover differential (+0) vs Celtics (+0)
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Key Players
Celtics
Grizzlies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Grizzlies has a 32% win probability, while Celtics has a 68% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.