Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
Scheduled
CIN 56%44% BAL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate
Cincinnati Reds 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Reds:
- Home Field Advantage. Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
- Rest Days. Reds rest advantage (3 days rest) over Orioles (4 days rest)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Orioles (away)
Reds (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Reds56%
is favored to win
Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors CIN
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Cincinnati Reds
- Rest DaysFavors Cincinnati Reds
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
BAL
CIN
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours BAL|Favours CIN
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 6/30/2026, 8:45:02 AM
Key Players
Orioles
Chris BassittSP
Trevor RogersSP
Shane BazSP
Kyle BradishSP
Brandon YoungSP
Reds
Chase BurnsSP
Nick LodoloSP
Brady SingerSP
Andrew AbbottSP
Rhett LowderSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Reds has a 56% win probability, while Orioles has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio.