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Winnipeg Jets at Montreal Canadiens

NHLregular • 2025-2026 Season
completed
Canadiens logo
Canadiens
Montreal
1
vs
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
4
MTL 60%40% WPG
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jets (away)
Canadiens (home)
40%
Win probability
60%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Jets defeated the Canadiens 4-1.

Our model predicted the Canadiens would win with 60% confidence, but the Jets pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Canadiens and was a notable factor: Montreal Canadiens are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Montreal Canadiens offense (3.5 PPG) outpaces Winnipeg Jets (2.8 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Montreal Canadiens (32-17) in better form than Winnipeg Jets (22-26)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Jets won 1-4

Jets won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Canadiens at 60%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WPG
MTL
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Rest Days
Defensive Efficiency
Favours WPG|Favours MTL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/28/2026, 11:46:01 AM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Canadiens has a 60% win probability, while Jets has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

Venue information is not yet available for this game.

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