Toronto Maple Leafs at Edmonton Oilers
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Maple Leafs defeated the Oilers 4-3.
Our model predicted the Oilers would win with 55% confidence, but the Maple Leafs pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Oilers and was a notable factor: Edmonton Oilers are 0-0 at home this season
- Rest Days favored the Maple Leafs and was a contributing factor: Toronto Maple Leafs rest advantage (3 days rest) over Edmonton Oilers (1 day rest)
- Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar offensive efficiency (3.4 vs 3.3 PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Maple Leafs won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
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Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Oilers has a 55% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.