Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Maple Leafs defeated the Flames 6-3.
Our model predicted the Flames would win with 54% confidence, but the Maple Leafs pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Flames and was a notable factor: Calgary Flames are 0-0 at home this season
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Maple Leafs and was a contributing factor: Toronto Maple Leafs offense (3.3 PPG) outpaces Calgary Flames (2.5 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Flames and was a contributing factor: Calgary Flames defense (3.0 Opp PPG) better than Toronto Maple Leafs (3.4 Opp PPG)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Maple Leafs won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 54% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
Venue information is not yet available for this game.