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Montreal Canadiens at Anaheim Ducks

NHLregular • 2025-2026 Season
completed
Ducks logo
Ducks
Anaheim
3
vs
Canadiens logo
Canadiens
Montreal
2
ANA 54%46% MTL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Canadiens (away)
Ducks (home)
46%
Win probability
54%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Ducks defeated the Canadiens 3-2.

Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 54% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Ducks and was a notable factor: Anaheim Ducks are 0-0 at home this season
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar defensive efficiency (3.5 vs 3.2 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar offensive efficiency (3.2 vs 3.5 PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Ducks won 3-2

Ducks won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Ducks at 54%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MTL
ANA
Home Field Advantage
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours MTL|Favours ANA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/28/2026, 11:46:03 AM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Ducks has a 54% win probability, while Canadiens has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

Venue information is not yet available for this game.

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