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Colorado Avalanche at New York Islanders

NHLregular • 2025-2026 Season
completed
Islanders logo
Islanders
New York
5
vs
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
2
NYI 50%50% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Avalanche (away)
Islanders (home)
50%
Win probability
50%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Islanders defeated the Avalanche 5-2.

Our model predicted the Islanders would win with 50% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Islanders and was a notable factor: New York Islanders are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Colorado Avalanche offense (3.8 PPG) outpaces New York Islanders (2.8 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Colorado Avalanche (37-9) in better form than New York Islanders (32-21)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Islanders won 5-2

Islanders won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Islanders at 50%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
NYI
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Defensive Efficiency
Rest Days
Favours COL|Favours NYI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/28/2026, 11:46:01 AM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Islanders has a 50% win probability, while Avalanche has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

Venue information is not yet available for this game.

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