PlayDecoded
Menu

Colorado Avalanche at New York Islanders

NHLregular • 2025-2026 Season
completed
Islanders logo
Islanders
New York
4
vs
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
5
NYI 47%53% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Avalanche (away)
Islanders (home)
53%
Win probability
47%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Avalanche defeated the Islanders 5-4.

Our model predicted the Avalanche would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Colorado Avalanche offense (3.8 PPG) outpaces New York Rangers (2.6 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Islanders and was a notable factor: New York Rangers are 0-0 at home this season
  • Recent Form favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Colorado Avalanche (37-9) in better form than New York Rangers (22-29)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Avalanche won 4-5

Avalanche won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Avalanche at 53%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
NYI
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Defensive Efficiency
Rest Days
Favours COL|Favours NYI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/28/2026, 11:46:01 AM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Islanders has a 47% win probability, while Avalanche has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

Venue information is not yet available for this game.

View all NHL games