Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Avalanche defeated the Flames 4-2.
Our model predicted the Avalanche would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Colorado Avalanche offense (3.8 PPG) outpaces Calgary Flames (2.5 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Flames and was a notable factor: Calgary Flames are 0-0 at home this season
- Recent Form favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Colorado Avalanche (37-9) in better form than Calgary Flames (23-27)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Avalanche won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 47% win probability, while Avalanche has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
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