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Colorado Avalanche at Boston Bruins

NHLregular • 2025-2026 Season
completed
Bruins logo
Bruins
Boston
3
vs
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
1
BOS 48%52% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Avalanche (away)
Bruins (home)
52%
Win probability
48%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Bruins defeated the Avalanche 3-1.

Our model predicted the Avalanche would win with 52% confidence, but the Bruins pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Bruins and was a notable factor: Boston Bruins are 0-0 at home this season
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Colorado Avalanche defense (2.4 Opp PPG) better than Boston Bruins (3.1 Opp PPG)
  • Rest Days favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Colorado Avalanche rest advantage (2 days rest) over Boston Bruins (1 day rest)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Bruins won 3-1

Bruins won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Avalanche at 52%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
BOS
Home Field Advantage
Defensive Efficiency
Rest Days
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours COL|Favours BOS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/28/2026, 11:46:00 AM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Bruins has a 48% win probability, while Avalanche has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

Venue information is not yet available for this game.

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