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Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets

NHLregular • 2025-2026 Season
completed
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
5
vs
Flames logo
Flames
Calgary
2
WPG 63%37% CGY
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Flames (away)
Jets (home)
37%
Win probability
63%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Jets defeated the Flames 5-2.

Our model predicted the Jets would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Rest Days favored the Jets and was a major factor: Winnipeg Jets rest advantage (1 day rest) over Calgary Flames (back-to-back)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Jets and was a notable factor: Winnipeg Jets are 0-0 at home this season
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: Winnipeg Jets offense (2.8 PPG) outpaces Calgary Flames (2.5 PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Jets won 5-2

Jets won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Jets at 63%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CGY
WPG
Rest Days
Home Field Advantage
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Favours CGY|Favours WPG

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Rest Days

Winnipeg Jets rest advantage (1 day rest) over Calgary Flames (back-to-back)

Jets
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 2/28/2026, 11:46:01 AM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Jets has a 63% win probability, while Flames has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

Venue information is not yet available for this game.

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