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Portland Trail Blazers at Indiana Pacers

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Pacers logo
Pacers
Indiana
119
vs
Trail Blazers logo
Trail Blazers
Portland
127
IND 28%72% POR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGainbridge Fieldhouse
Indianapolis, IN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Trail Blazers (away)
Pacers (home)
72%
Win probability
28%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Trail Blazers defeated the Pacers 127-119.

Our model predicted the Trail Blazers would win with 72% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Trail Blazers and was a major factor: Trail Blazers offense (115.1 PPG) outpaces Pacers (111.2 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Trail Blazers and was a notable factor: Trail Blazers defense (117.2 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (119.9 Opp PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Trail Blazers and was a contributing factor: Trail Blazers (33-36) in better form than Pacers (15-53)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Trail Blazers won 119-127

Trail Blazers won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Trail Blazers at 72%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

POR
IND
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours POR|Favours IND

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Trail Blazers offense (115.1 PPG) outpaces Pacers (111.2 PPG)

Trail Blazers

Defensive Efficiency

Trail Blazers defense (117.2 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (119.9 Opp PPG)

Trail Blazers

Recent Form

Trail Blazers (33-36) in better form than Pacers (15-53)

Trail Blazers

Turnover Differential

Pacers turnover differential (+0) vs Trail Blazers (+0)

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/18/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Trail Blazers

Blake WesleyG
Matisse ThybulleG
Sidy CissokoG
Shaedon SharpeG
Chris YoungbloodG

Pacers

Ben SheppardG
Johnny FurphyG
Ethan ThompsonG
Kobe BrownG
Quenton JacksonG

Frequently Asked Questions

Pacers has a 28% win probability, while Trail Blazers has a 72% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN.

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