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Detroit Pistons at Indiana Pacers

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Pacers logo
Pacers
Indiana
121
vs
Pistons logo
Pistons
Detroit
133
IND 11%89% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGainbridge Fieldhouse
Indianapolis, IN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Pistons (away)
Pacers (home)
89%
Win probability
11%
3
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Pistons defeated the Pacers 133-121.

Our model predicted the Pistons would win with 89% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a major factor: Pistons offense (117.4 PPG) outpaces Pacers (111.3 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Pistons and was a major factor: Pistons defense (109.5 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.4 Opp PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Pistons and was a major factor: Pistons (51-19) in better form than Pacers (15-56)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Pistons won 121-133

Pistons won comfortably

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Pistons at 89%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
IND
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours DET|Favours IND

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Pistons offense (117.4 PPG) outpaces Pacers (111.3 PPG)

Pistons

Defensive Efficiency

Pistons defense (109.5 Opp PPG) better than Pacers (120.4 Opp PPG)

Pistons

Recent Form

Pistons (51-19) in better form than Pacers (15-56)

Pistons

Turnover Differential

Pacers turnover differential (+0) vs Pistons (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/12/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Pistons

Ausar ThompsonG
Marcus SasserG
Chaz LanierG
Kevin HuerterG
Daniss JenkinsG

Pacers

Ben SheppardG
Johnny FurphyG
Tyrese HaliburtonG
Kobe BrownG
Quenton JacksonG

Frequently Asked Questions

Pacers has a 11% win probability, while Pistons has a 89% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN.

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