Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Pelicans
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pelicans defeated the Mavericks 129-111.
Our model predicted the Pelicans would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Pelicans and was a notable factor: Pelicans offense (115.4 PPG) outpaces Mavericks (112.9 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Mavericks and was a notable factor: Mavericks defense (118.0 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (119.8 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Pelicans and was a contributing factor: Pelicans are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Pelicans won convincingly
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
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1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Mavericks
Pelicans
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pelicans has a 58% win probability, while Mavericks has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA.