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Cleveland Cavaliers at New Orleans Pelicans

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Pelicans logo
Pelicans
New Orleans
106
vs
Cavaliers logo
Cavaliers
Cleveland
111
NOP 23%77% CLE

Make Your Prediction

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VenueSmoothie King Center
New Orleans, LA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Cavaliers (away)
Pelicans (home)
77%
Win probability
23%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Cavaliers defeated the Pelicans 111-106.

Our model predicted the Cavaliers would win with 77% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a major factor: Cavaliers defense (114.8 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (119.3 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a notable factor: Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (115.8 PPG)
  • Recent Form favored the Cavaliers and was a notable factor: Cavaliers (43-27) in better form than Pelicans (25-46)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Cavaliers won 106-111

Cavaliers won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Cavaliers at 77%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CLE
NOP
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours CLE|Favours NOP

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

Cavaliers defense (114.8 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (119.3 Opp PPG)

Cavaliers

Offensive Efficiency

Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Pelicans (115.8 PPG)

Cavaliers

Recent Form

Cavaliers (43-27) in better form than Pelicans (25-46)

Cavaliers

Turnover Differential

Pelicans turnover differential (+0) vs Cavaliers (+0)

Neutral

1 factor not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/21/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Cavaliers

Jaylon TysonG
Craig Porter Jr.G
Tyrese ProctorG
James HardenG
Dennis SchroderG

Pelicans

Trey AlexanderG
Saddiq BeyG
Jeremiah FearsG
Jordan HawkinsG
Bryce McGowensG

Frequently Asked Questions

Pelicans has a 23% win probability, while Cavaliers has a 77% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA.

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