Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Cavaliers defeated the Warriors 118-111.
Our model predicted the Cavaliers would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Cavaliers and was a major factor: Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Warriors (114.8 PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Warriors and was a contributing factor: Warriors are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favored the Cavaliers and was a contributing factor: Cavaliers (44-27) in better form than Warriors (33-38)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Cavaliers won comfortably
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Warriors
Cavaliers
Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Cavaliers offense (119.1 PPG) outpaces Warriors (114.8 PPG)
Recent Form
Cavaliers (44-27) in better form than Warriors (33-38)
Defensive Efficiency
Similar defensive efficiency (114.7 vs 114.7 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Warriors turnover differential (+0) vs Cavaliers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
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Key Players
Cavaliers
Warriors
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Warriors has a 37% win probability, while Cavaliers has a 63% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA.